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The below shows any current watches and alerts from the NOAA website.
The watch gives details of the highest storm level prediction per day in the watch period. This is only a prediction of storm levels and not actual live data. You can see the current/live data HERE.
Space Weather Message Code: WATA20
Serial Number: 857
Issue Time: 2019 May 13 2004 UTC
WATCH: Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted
Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day:
May 14: None (Below G1) May 15: G1 (Minor) May 16: G1 (Minor)
THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT
The below shows what Kp number can be expected based on the storm levels predicted:
G1 Minor = Kp5, G2 Moderate = Kp6, G3 Strong = Kp7, G4 Severe = Kp8, G5 Extreme = Kp9
We are more likely to see the Aurora with a Kp above 5, however other conditions must be right for it to be seen.